Mercado | Insights | The history of 'modern' global trade (Part 2)

Insight: The history of ‘modern’ global trade (Part 2)

Article
First Things First

Insight: The history of ‘modern’ global trade (Part 2)

June 5, 2023

Subscribe for more insights,
straight to your inbox

Every week, Mercado CEO Rob Garrison pens his latest learnings from the supply chain industry as part of an on-going series. Each article aims to share a little insight into what's going on that week, and to help foster discussion amongst industry professionals across levels, geographies, and companies.
Subscribe
In my last post, I delved into the history of modern global trade, which Jon Monroe referred to as "riding the dragon." However, as we fast forward to 2023, it's evident that the dragon now breathes fire.
To understand the factors driving this shift, check out this insightful video from The Wall Street Journal.
🌍 S - The Shocking Turn of Events
Since 2017, global trade has been hit by one "shock" after another, turning this once stable and predictable industry upside down. A new fire-breathing dragon has unleashed a barrage of challenges, including tariffs, sourcing shifts, the pandemic, trade tensions, activism, new competitive threats, and economic uncertainty. As a result, forcing companies to reevaluate every aspect from sourcing to shipping. The old "set it and forget it" model with China now carries too much risk, and economic headwinds demand greater efficiency.

🔑 S - The Solution: Learning from the Final Mile
To navigate this chaos and minimize its impact, gaining control and visibility over the crucial "first mile" of the supply chain is paramount. Interestingly, I believe the solution lies in adopting best practices from the already well-established "final mile" model.

Consider this: when you purchase a football online, the entire process is automated, from ordering to invoicing to delivery. However, when the same football is purchased offshore in bulk, the entire process remains offline, reliant on PDFs, Excel, and emails.

🚀 P - The Path to the Future: Embracing Innovation
With instability comes opportunity, and I firmly believe that importers should embrace the best practices of the final mile within their first mile operations. Here are some key steps to take:
  1. Connect digitally with suppliers and 3PLs to foster seamless collaboration.
  2. Leverage technology to enhance cost control, visibility, and sales forecasting.
  3. Tap into the wealth of data available, mining insights on costs, time-to-market, and performance.
  4. Integrate essential functions like purchasing, finance, and shipping, streamlining operations and reducing inefficiencies.
This model has the potential to scale from simple "trip plans" ala Waze or Uber, to robust FBA-like platforms that connect buyers and sellers into marketplaces. True eCommerce from Asia is rapidly emerging, with platforms like Temu gaining millions of subscribers, and companies like Shein raising billions to fuel their eCommerce expansion. The industry is ripe for disruption, and ironically the lack of presents an incredible greenfield opportunity.
"In an 'ideal' world, an importer would have at least one backup country, and one back up supplier for every critical product... All of this sounds good on paper, however it's actually incredibly difficult in practice."
One key reason is the dominance of China. Many importers are concerned about China as a sourcing point due to increasing tensions between the countries. However, the reality is that China dominates mfg in Asia, and they are very good at it.

As a result, quitting China is hard, as you will see in the excellent analysis below by Rita Rudnik.

A second reason is much more mundane. Most importers lack a robust database of their suppliers, and their supplier's suppliers. On the surface this sounds ridiculous, however we have gone through decades of 'predictable' supply chains where this wasn't a priority. Using the example above, most of the bike importers I spoke to were simply not aware of how reliant their suppliers were on Shimano.

My guidance to all importers is to address this database issue quickly. Beyond resiliency, knowing a lot about who makes your products, and who makes their parts, is also critical for understanding things like cost, ESG, and sales.

Mercado in action

Book a demo

About the author

Rob Garrison, Mercado CEO

Rob Garrison

A highly accomplished Global Supply Chain executive with 25 years of experience, Rob Garrison has provided strategic vision and leadership to Fortune 500 companies. Rob has an impressive history of building agile, technology-enabled supply chains, and he has an established track record of forging high-growth partnerships, positioning organizations for success and launching innovative technology solutions that significantly improve end-to-end supply chain efficiencies.

Rob is currently CEO and founder of Mercado Labs.
From us to you...

Thank you for using Mercado. Our goal is to empower businesses to better navigate the complex world of importing. We know data security is of paramount importance, so we place high standards on ensuring it is safely and respectfully secured. We are committed to following and continuously evolving best practices to support this principle. Your data is yours, and we guard it closely. We do not sell any of your information, and we will always be fully transparent on how we collect and use your data. That's a promise.